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We propose a novel framework to gauge the credibility of central banks' commitment to an inflation-targeting regime …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013468210
Modern monetary policy focuses on credibility and shaping consumers' inflation expectations. According to the concept …-making process and may be a specific intermediate target. The aim of the study is to analyse the credibility of inflation forecasts … credibility index. The inflation forecasts' credibility index may be calculated for all types of inflation forecasts made by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011802291
We propose a novel framework to gauge the credibility of central banks' commitment to an inflation-targeting regime …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014442954
We estimate perceptions about the Fed's monetary policy rule from panel data on professional forecasts of interest rates and macroeconomic conditions. The perceived dependence of the federal funds rate on economic conditions is time-varying and cyclical: high during tightening episodes but low...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013473682
We estimate perceptions about the Fed's monetary policy rule from panel data on professional forecasts of interest rates and macroeconomic conditions. The perceived dependence of the federal funds rate on economic conditions is time-varying and cyclical: high during tightening episodes but low...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013475251
extent to which inflation expectations are formed by the announced targets. As the credibility of the central bank increases … target. Credibility enables expectation to be formed in a forward-looking way by weakening its connection with the past. This … study aims to contribute to the literature concerning the effects of credibility on monetary policy. For this purpose, using …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012548972
Central bank credibility is critical for the effectiveness of monetary policy. The measures of credibility that are … alternative measure that allows us to track the evolution of credibility in an inflationary environment. Credibility is defined as … decisions. We adopt a Bayesian set up to exploit this definition and document how credibility changes over time. Our measure …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012292071
success of this regime may depend critically on the credibility of the target and the expectation that the authorities will … anchoring of expectations is interpreted as a gain in credibility. Also considered are the effects on the credibility of the … anchored over the whole sample period, credibility has risen, but at the same time the cost of breaching the target has grown. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011286255
-)establish credibility, optimal monetary policy under discretion is shown to set higher interest rates today if average inflation exceeded … term in the central bank's optimal instrument rule, which we refer to as the credibility loss. Augmenting a standard Taylor … seven central banks and that this influence is economically meaningful. A deteroriation in credibility forces central …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010294449
extent to which inflation expectations are formed by the announced targets. As the credibility of the central bank increases … target. Credibility enables expectation to be formed in a forward-looking way by weakening its connection with the past. This … study aims to contribute to the literature concerning the effects of credibility on monetary policy. For this purpose, using …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014558525