This paper presents the Bayesian analysis of a general multivariate exponential smoothing model that allows us to forecast time series jointly, subject to correlated random disturbances. The general multivariate model, which can be formulated as a seemingly unrelated regression model, includes...

This paper presents the Bayesian analysis of a general multivariate exponential smoothing model that allows us to forecast time series jointly, subject to correlated random disturbances. The general multivariate model, which can be formulated as a seemingly unrelated regression model, includes...

Exponential smoothing methods are widely used as forecasting techniques in industry and business. Their usual formulation, however, does not allow covariates to be used for introducing extra information into the forecasting process. In this paper, we analyse an extension of the exponential...

In this paper a hierarchic Gamma model for the Bayesian analysis of unemployment duration with covariables is proposed. We modelize the risk function of each individual with the corresponding to a Gamma distribution associated with its covariables by means of a non-deterministic relationship...

This paper presents a new possibilistic programming approach to the portfolio selection problem. It is based on two issues: the approximation of the rates of return on securities by means of fuzzy numbers of trapezoidal form, for which we use the interval-valued ex-pectation defined by Dubois...