The paper assesses estimates of term structure models for the United States. To this end, this paper first describes the mathematics underlying two types of term structure models, namely the Nelson-Siegel and Cox, Ingersoll and Ross family of models, and the estimation techniques. It then...

This paper discusses the estimation of models of the term structure of interest rates. After reviewing the term structure models, specifically the Nelson-Siegel Model and Affine Term- Structure Model, this paper estimates the terms structure of Treasury bond yields for the United States with...

We propose identifying the drift and the diffusion functions of an ergodic scalar stochastic differential equation using repeated eigenfunction estimation. The transition density will be estimated in a new way involving Kolmogorov’s backward equation, neural networks and functions of our...

This paper is concerned with the Bayesian estimation of non-linear stochastic differential equations when only discrete observations are available. The estimation is carried out using a tuned MCMC method, in particular a blocked Metropolis-Hastings algorithm, by introducing auxiliary points and...

This paper is concerned with the estimation of stochastic differential equations when only discrete observations are available. It primarily focuses on deriving a closed form solution for the one-step ahead conditional transition density using the Milstein scheme. This higher order Taylor...

The study provides evidence in favor of the price range as a proxy estimator of volatility in financial time series, in the cases that either intra-day datasets are unavailable or they are available at a low sampling frequency.

In this study, the non-homogeneous Gompertz diffusion process (NHGDP) is used to model the monthly peak electricity demand in Mauritius in order to predict the future values on the basis of a Genetic Algorithm (GA) approach. Our model is developed based a key economic indicator which is the...

Understanding the behaviour of market prices is not simple. Stock market prices tend to have complicated distributions with strong skewness and fat tails. One important step in forecasting tomorrow’s price is to estimate the volatility, i.e. how much tomorrow’s price is expected to differ...

An efficient methodology of estimation of parameters in the diffusion coefficient of the stochastic differential equation (SDE) is presented in this work. The methodology is based on the concept of quadratic variation of a stochastic process and on some classical numerical tools such as spline...