Recent research has focused on the "description-experience gap": While rare events are overweighted in description based decisions, people tend to behave as if they underweight rare events in decisions based on experience. Barron and Erev (2003) and Hertwig, Barron, Weber, and Erev (2004) argue...

Improving a company's bargaining position is often cited as a chief motivation to vertically integrate with suppliers. This paper expands on that view in building a new theory of vertical integration. In my model firms integrate to gain bargaining power against other suppliers in the production...

We propose a novel experimental design to assess how to combine predictions from a theoretical model with experimental evidence to yield new, more accurate quantitative predictions. The first step involves deriving the predictions of the theoretical model by estimating unobserved parameters. The...