reflected in the forecasting capabilities of professional analysts: all in all, analysts are not in a position to beat native … environment, we analyse the forecasting behaviour of students experimentally, using a simulated currency series. Our results … indicate that a topically oriented trend adjustment behaviour (TOTA) is a general characteristic of human forecasting behaviour …

An alternative to using a single forecasting method is to average the forecasts made by various methods. In this paper … predict corporate earnings per share. We conclude that, on average, the primary forecasting advantages of analysts over time … beginning of the fiscal year. For predictions in the first half of the fiscal year, there is evidence of forecasting benefits …

-free communication is only sufficient for reaching a consensus. We apply our model to economic forecasting, providing an alternative …-free communication is a necessary and sufficient condition for a consensus to emerge. However, when communication is public, ambiguity …

When forecasting decisions in conflict situations, experts are often advised to figuratively stand in the other person …