In this paper, we re-examine the profitability of technical analysis using the Reality Check of White (2000, Econometrica) that corrects the data snooping bias. Comparing to previous studies, we study a more complete “universe” of trading techniques, including not only simple trading rules...

The response surfaces of MOSUM critical values are computed, from which the finite sample and asymptotic critical values for different moving window bandwidths can easily be calculated. Results also show that the finite-sample critical values originally suggested by Bauer and Hackl and the...

This paper examines how international capital mobility can be affected by sterilization activities for seven East Asian economies. We develop a model that shows how sterilization measures by a central bank can lead to a reduction in a country's capital mobility. Using data from 1980 to 2006, we...

C. R. Nelson and C. I. Plosser (1982), in a classic paper, failed to find strong evidence against the null hypothesis of a generating process with a unit autoregressive root for thirteen U.S. macroeconomic time series. P. Perron (1989) claimed that such evidence was available for a majority of...

The authors provide a convergence theory for adaptive learning algorithms useful for the study of learning by economic agents. Their results extend the framework of L. Ljung previously utilized by A. Marcet-T. J. Sargent and M. Woodford by permitting nonlinear laws of motion driven by stochastic...