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A stochastic marked point process model based on doubly stochastic Poisson process is considered in the problem of prediction for the total size of future marks in a given period, given the history of the process. The underlying marked point process <InlineEquation ID="IEq1"> <EquationSource Format="TEX">$$(T_{i},Y_{i})_{i\ge 1}$$</EquationSource> <EquationSource Format="MATHML"> <math xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"> <msub> <mrow> <mo stretchy="false">(</mo> <msub> <mi>T</mi> <mi>i</mi> </msub> <mo>,</mo> <msub> <mi>Y</mi> <mi>i</mi>...</msub></mrow></msub></math></equationsource></equationsource></inlineequation>
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The Anderson-Darling goodness-of-fit test has a highly skewed and non-standard limit distribution. Various attempts have been made to tabulate the associated critical points, using both theoretical approximations and simulation methods. We show that a standard saddlepoint approximation performs...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005839156
Gibbs sampling has had great success in the analysis of mixture models. In particular, the “latent variable” formulation of the mixture model greatly reduces computational complexity. However, one failing of this approach is the possible existence of almost-absorbing states, called trapping...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009002202
This paper provides methods for carrying out likelihood based inference for diffusion driven models, for example discretely observed multivariate diffusions, continuous time stochastic volatility models and counting process models. The diffusions can potentially be non-stationary. Although our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010661411
Scanner data for fast moving consumer goods typically amount to panels of time series where both N and T are large. To reduce the number of parameters and to shrink parameters towards plausible and interpretable values, multi-level models turn out to be useful. Such models contain in the second...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010837954
Based on a new life test plan called a progressive first-failure-censoring scheme, the estimation problem of the reliability performances is considered for a semi-parameter class of distributions by using Bayes and non-Bayes methods. In order to investigate the accuracy of estimation, an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010751874
In this paper, maximum likelihood and Bayesian approaches have been used to obtain the estimation of <InlineEquation ID="IEq4"> <EquationSource Format="TEX">$$P(XY)$$</EquationSource> <EquationSource Format="MATHML"> <math xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"> <mrow> <mi>P</mi> <mo stretchy="false">(</mo> <mi>X</mi> <mo></mo> <mi>Y</mi> <mo stretchy="false">)</mo> </mrow> </math> </EquationSource> </InlineEquation> based on a set of upper record values from Kumaraswamy distribution. The existence and uniqueness of the maximum likelihood estimates of the Kumaraswamy distribution...</equationsource></equationsource></inlineequation>
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010998557
Gibbs sampling has had great success in the analysis of mixture models. In particular, the “latent variable” formulation of the mixture model greatly reduces computational complexity. However, one failing of this approach is the possible existence of almost-absorbing states, called trapping...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011072475