This paper presents, estimates and tests a reduced form sovereign credit default swap (CDS) pricing model where the default intensity is driven by two latent Black-Karasinski-type processes. CDS pricing re- quires finite difference numerical solutions, but parameter estimation is still feasible....

Remaining useful life (RUL) prediction is central to the prognostics and health management (PHM) of lithium-ion batteries. This paper proposes a novel RUL prediction method for lithium-ion batteries based on the Wiener process with measurement error (WPME). First, we use the truncated normal...

We propose an iterative procedure to efficiently estimate models with complex log-likelihood functions and the number of parameters relative to the observations being potentially high. Given consistent but inefficient estimates of sub-vectors of the parameter vector, the procedure yields...

The distribution of impact factors has been modeled in the recent informetric literature using two-exponent law proposed by Mansilla et al. (2007). This paper shows that two distributions widely-used in economics, namely the Dagum and Singh-Maddala models, possess several advantages over the...

Modeling and analysis of lifetimes is an important aspect of statistical work in a wide variety of scientific and technological fields. For the first time, the called Kumaraswamy Exponentiated Pareto distribution, is introduced. Some structural properties of the proposed distribution are studied...

In this paper, we examine the finite-sample properties of the approximate maximum likelihood estimate (MLE) of the fractional differencing parameter d in an ARFIMA(p, d, q) model based on the wavelet coefficients. Ignoring wavelet coefficients of higher order of resolution, the remaining wavelet...

A systematic way of selecting hyperparameters of the prior on the shape parameter of the generalized extreme value distribution (GEVD) is presented. The optimal selection is based on a Monte Carlo simulation in the generalized maximum likelihood estimation (GMLE) framework. A scaled total misfit...

The paper asks how state of the art DSGE models that account for the conditional response of hours following a positive neutral technology shock compare in a marginal likelihood race. To that end we construct and estimate several competing small-scale DSGE models that extend the standard real...

In this paper we introduce a new regression model in which the response variable is bounded by two unknown parameters. A special case is a bounded alternative to the four parameter logistic model. The four parameter model which has unbounded responses is widely used, for instance, in bioassays,...