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Divergent priors are improper when defined on unbounded supports. Bartlett's paradox has been taken to imply that using improper priors results in ill-defined Bayes factors, preventing model comparison by posterior probabilities. However many improper priors have attractive properties that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326008
We develop a new class of prior distributions for Bayesian comparison of nested models, which we call intrinsic moment priors, by combining the well-established notion of intrinsic prior with the recently introduced idea of non-local priors, and in particular of moment priors. Specifically, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010335237
We analyze the general (multiallelic) Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium problem from an objective Bayesian testing standpoint. We argue that for small or moderate sample sizes the answer is rather sensitive to the prior chosen, and this suggests to carry out a sensitivity analysis with respect to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010335252
The implementation of the Bayesian paradigm to model comparison can be problematic. In particular, prior distributions on the parameter space of each candidate model require special care. While it is well known that improper priors cannot be used routinely for Bayesian model comparison, we claim...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010335266
We propose an objective Bayesian method for the comparison of all Gaussian directed acyclic graphical models defined on a given set of variables. The method, which is based on the notion of fractional Bayes factor, requires a single default (typically improper) prior on the space of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010335318
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011599639
Standard income inequality indices can be interpreted as a measure of welfare loss entailed in departures from equality of outcomes, for egalitarian social welfare functions defined on the distribution of outcomes. But such a welfare interpretation has been criticized for a long time on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011653449
Consider a probability model P θ,α , where θ=(θ 1 ,θ 2 ,…,θ k ) T is a parameter vector of interest, and α is some nuisance parameter. The problem of testing null hypothesis H 0 : θ 1 =θ 2 =…=θ k against selecting one of k alternative hypotheses H i :θ i =θ [ k ] θ [1] , i...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014621347
Abstract For many decades, statisticians have made attempts to prepare the Bayesian omelette without breaking the Bayesian eggs; that is, to obtain probabilistic likelihood-based inferences without relying on informative prior distributions. A recent example is Murray Aitkin´s recent book,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014622233
This paper is concerned with simulation-based inference in generalized models of stochastic volatility defined by heavy-tailed Student-t distributions (with unknown degrees of freedom) and exogenous variables in the observation and volatility equations and a jump component in the observation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009441450