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In this paper we identify the origins of stop-and-go (or slow-and-go) driving and measure microscopic features of their propagations by analyzing vehicle trajectories via Wavelet Transform. Based on 53 oscillation cases analyzed, we find that oscillations can be originated by either...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010577903
We consider a simple supply chain in which a single supplier sells to several downstream retailers. The supplier has limited capacity, and retailers are privately informed of their optimal stocking levels. If retailer orders exceed available capacity, the supplier allocates capacity using a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009197298
identify economic variables that might help improve the OECD's forecasts for Germany's consumption and GDP growth. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295325
Macroeconomics must take radical uncertainty into account, if it aims at contributing to the solution of serious real-world problems such as climate change. Allowing for radical uncertainty must happen at two levels: the level of modeling and the level of the scientifi c discipline. I argue that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011404811
Up to the financial slump of the second quarter of 2008 commodity prices grew fast for several consecutive years in a highly volatile context. Recent commodity fluctuations have raised both policy concerns and a prolific academic debate. This paper offers a coherent theoretical and empirical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325086
In this paper we analyse tourism sustainability from a modelling point of view. The minimal model we propose is composed of three non-linear ordinary differential equations describing the dynamics of tourists, environment and services. Many of the parameters involved are concerned with the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011608350
We introduce time-varying systemic risk (à la He and Krishnamurthy, 2014) in an otherwise standard New-Keynesian model to study whether simple leaning-against-the-wind interest rate rules can reduce systemic risk and improve welfare. We find that while financial sector leverage contains...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011943311
Business cycles tend to comove across countries. However, standard models that attribute comovement to propagation of exogenous shocks struggle to generate a level of co-movement that is as high as in the data. In this paper, we consider models that produce business cycles endogenously, through...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014541813
This paper studies how household inequality shapes the effects of the zero lower bound (ZLB) on nominal interest rates on aggregate dynamics. To do so, we consider a heterogeneous agent New Keynesian (HANK) model with an occasionally binding ZLB and solve for its fully non-linear stochastic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014502634
This paper studies how household inequality shapes the effects of the zero lower bound (ZLB) on nominal interest rates on aggregate dynamics. To do so, we consider a heterogeneous agent New Keynesian (HANK) model with an occasionally binding ZLB and solve for its fully nonlinear stochastic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014377446