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a bubble. We find that 22 states (mostly Northeast and West) exhibit clear-cut signatures of a fast-growing bubble. From … the analysis of the S&P 500 Home Index, we conclude that the turning point of the bubble will probably occur around mid …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010588672
We analyse, following recent work of Roehner, changes in house prices for both the UK and Ireland. We conclude that prices in the UK/London have reached a tipping point and relative to inflation are set to fall over the next few years. House prices (again relative to inflation) in Ireland are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010589937
bubble in any stock market (bourse) across the geographical boundaries. This study examines forty two bourses (representing … embedded volatility, herd behaviour and nascent bubble. Overall the volatility distribution has been found to be Gaussian in … percent of indices under consideration showed traces of mild herd as well as bubble. The same indices were all found to be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014558389
bubble in any stock market (bourse) across the geographical boundaries. This study examines forty two bourses (representing … embedded volatility, herd behaviour and nascent bubble. Overall the volatility distribution has been found to be Gaussian in … percent of indices under consideration showed traces of mild herd as well as bubble. The same indices were all found to be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012305755
We find that the seed of the 2002/03 crisis of the Dutch supermarket giant AHOLD was planted in 1996. We have adapted Weidlich's theory of opinion formation to describe the formation of buy or sell decisions among investors, based on a competition between the mechanisms of herding and of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011057443
This paper examines the relationship between real estate prices during the home price boom from the late 1990s into 2005 and competition among mortgage lenders. The mortgage lending business, especially with the rise of the originate-to-distribute model, had competitors with very different...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010292183
The recent U.S. house price bubble and the subsequent deep financial crisis have renewed the interest in reliable … bubble was not a homogeneous event since regional starting points range from 1996 to 2002. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010292643
Abstract The recent U.S. house price bubble and the subsequent deep financial crisis have renewed the interest in … bubble was not a homogeneous event since regional starting points range from 1996 to 2002.  …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014619321
This paper provides new empirical evidence on housing bubble timing, volatility spillover, and bubble contagion between … the multivariate time-varying DCC-GARCH model. Third, we assess bubble contagion by estimating a non-parametric model of … bubble migration with time-varying coefficients. We document two historical bubble episodes from 1970 to 2018 in Japan …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013200971
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010419842