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We explore the dynamic behavior of a New Keynesian monetary policy problem with expectations formed, partially, under adaptive learning. We consider two alternative cases: on the first setting, the private economy has the ability to predict rationally real economic conditions (the output gap)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010835373
There is by now a large consensus in modern monetary policy. This consensus has been built upon a dynamic general equilibrium model of optimal monetary policy as developed by, e.g., Goodfriend and King (1997), Clarida et al. (1999), Svensson (1999) and Woodford (2003). In this paper we extend...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005083959
The main aim of this paper is to analyse the dynamics of nonlinear discrete-time maps generated by duopoly games with heterogeneous and quadratic cost functions, in which players do not form expetations about the rival’s actions accordingto the ratioal expectations hypothesis. We discusse here...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010561306
This paper analyzes the dynamic properties of a standard New Keynesian monetary policy model when private agents expectations are assumed to be formed under a learning mechanism. As pointed out in the literature, learning with decreasing gain estimators tends to lead to convergence to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010561311
This paper is concerned with the following problem. In a bounded rational game where players cannot be as super-rational as in Kalai and Leher (1993), are there simple adaptive heuristics or rules that can be used in order to secure convergence to Nash equilibria, or convergence only to a larger...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010561312
There is by now a large consensus in modern monetary policy. This consensus has been built upon a dynamic general equilibrium model of optimal monetary policy with sticky prices a la Calvo and forward looking behavior. In this paper we extend this standard model by introducing nonlinearity into...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010561313
Until very recently, the pervasive existence of models exhibiting well-defined backward dynamics but ill-defined forward dynamics in economics and finance has apparently posed no serious obstacles to the analysis of their dynamics and stability, despite the problems that may arise from possible...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011058211
In a series of papers, Benhabib, Schmitt-Grohé and Uribe (2001a, 2001b, 2001c, 2002 and 2004) have shown that active interest rules may lead to very unexpected consequences: indeterminacy, deflation traps, large cyclical instability, and can even lead to chaotic dynamics under standard sets of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010835367
We show that very complicated dynamics arising, e.g. from an overlapping generations model (OLG) with production and an endogenous intertemporal decision between labour and leisure, which produces hyperchaos (both eigenvalues with modulus higher than 1), can in fact be controlled or managed with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010561303
In this paper we apply the techniques of symbolic dynamics and chaos control to the analysis of a labor market model which shows chaotic behavior and large volatility in employment flows. The possibility that chaotic dynamics may arise in modern labor markets had been totally strange to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010561307