In this paper, we investigate the moderate deviations for a customer-arrival-based insurance risk model, in which customer’s actual claim sizes are described as independent and identically distributed heavy-tailed random variables multiplying a shot function, and the model can be treated as a...

We study the dependence properties of stationary Markov chains generated by Archimedean copulas. Under some simple regularity conditions, we show that regular variation of the Archimedean generator at zero and one implies geometric orgodicityof the associated Markov chain. We verify our...

For samples of random variables with a regularly varying tail estimating the tail index has received much attention recently. For the proof of asymptotic normality of the tail index estimator second order regular variation is needed. In this paper we first supplement earlier results on...

Bocker and Kluppelberg [Risk Mag., 2005, December, 90-93] presented a simple approximation of OpVaR of a single operational risk cell. The present paper derives approximations of similar quality and simplicity for the multivariate problem. Our approach is based on the modelling of the dependence...

Consider a portfolio of n identically distributed risks with dependence structure modeled by an Archimedean survival copula. Wüthrich (2003) and Alink et al. (2004) proved that the probability of a large aggregate loss scales like the probability of a large individual loss, times a...

Motivated by prediction problems for time series with heavy-tailed marginal distributions, we consider methods based on `local least absolute deviations' for estimating a regression median from dependent data. Unlike more conventional `local median' methods, which are in effect based on locally...

Using regular variation to define heavy tailed distributions, we show that prominent downside risk measures produce similar and consistent ranking of heavy tailed risk. Thus regardless of the particular risk measure being used, assets will be ranked in a similar and consistent manner for heavy...

This paper explores the potential for violations of VaR subadditivity both theoretically and by simulations, and finds that for most practical applications VaR is subadditive. Hence, there is no reason to choose a more complicated risk measure than VaR, solely for reasons of coherence.

This paper characterizes the long term social discount rate (SDR) in terms of indices of variation and identifies a class of discount functions that assign weight to the distant future in terms of the asymptotes of their hazard rates. Let A(t) be a discount function supported on [0, +∞[, whose...

It is hard to find explicit expressions for the renewal function U(x)=∑n=0∞F∗n(x). Many researchers have made attempts to find suitable approximations for U(x). In this paper we present simple approximations and show that they cover many of the known results.