It is an important issue for economic and finance applications to determine whether individuals exhibit a behavioral bias towards pessimism in their beliefs, in a lottery or more generally in an investment opportunities framework. In this paper, we analyze the answers of a sample of 1,540...

Les divergences des analystes dans leurs prévisions des résultats futurs des entreprises est un fait. De manière plus générale, la divergence d'opinion des investisseurs quant à l'évolution future des cours boursiers ou des fondamentaux de l'économie est largement étayée dans la...

The thesis explores the impact of heterogeneous beliefs on the equilibrium characteristics prevailing in economies made of irrational agents. In the first part, an economy providing investment opportunities in production of unrestricted supply and a bond of zero supply to both an optimist and a...

The aim of the paper is to analyze the impact of heterogeneous beliefs in an otherwise standard competitive complete market economy. The construction of a consensus probability belief, as well as a consensus consumer, are shown to be valid modulo an aggregation bias, which takes the form of a...

We provide a price characterization of efficient contingent claims - that is, chosen by at least a rational agent - in multiperiod economies with market frictions. Frictions include market incompleteness, transaction costs, short-selling, and borrowing costs. We characterize the inefficiency...

An agent's optimization problem of the expected terminal wealth utility in a trinomial tree economy is solved. At each transaction date, the agent can trade in a riskless asset, a primitive asset subject to constant proportional transaction costs, and a contingent claim characterized by some...