Excessive heat and cold weather waves may affect economic activity through energy markets. Yet, if a clear distinction of those events from other sources of variation in the economy would help central banks in stabilizing inflation is a research question that lacks theoretical and empirical...

Secured and unsecured credit composition differently affects the business cycle. US credit accounts are decomposed considering secured and unsecured contracts for businesses and households and their sample correlations with real activity compared to the conditional evidence from an estimated...

The theoretical literature on business cycles predicts a positive investment response to productivity improvements. In this work we question this prediction from theoretical and empirical standpoints. We first show that a negative short-term response of investment to a positive technology shock...

The inclusion of labor market frictions in the new Keynesian DSGE model overcomes the main drawbacks of the baseline framework. In this paper we show that this extended model, by assuming real wage rigidities, does not replicate the correct wage dynamics and the negative conditional correlation...

The paper studies whether “idiosyncratic riskâ€, i.e. the degree to which firm and industry specific returns are more volatile than aggregate market returns, is higher in innovative industries which are characterized by more risk and uncertainty. Volatility is studied both at the...