This paper investigates the profitability of a trading strategy based on training a model to identify stocks with high or low predicted returns. A tail set is defined to be a group of stocks whose volatility-adjusted price change is in the highest or lowest quantile, for example the highest or...

By using smart meters, more data about how businesses use energy is becoming available to energy retailers (providers). This is enabling innovation in the structure and type of tariffs on offer in the energy market. We have applied Artificial Neural Networks, Support Vector Machines, and Naive...

Recently, a class of machine learning-inspired procedures, termed kernel machine methods, has been extensively developed in the statistical literature. In this note, we construct a so-called ‘adaptively minimax’ kernel machine. Such a construction highlights the limits on the...

The training of Support Vector Machines may be a very difficult task when dealing with very large datasets. The memory requirement and the time consumption of the SVMs algorithms grow rapidly with the increase of the data. To overcome these drawbacks a lot of parallel algorithms have been...

We investigate constrained first order techniques for training support vector machines (SVM) for online classification tasks. The methods exploit the structure of the SVM training problem and combine ideas of incremental gradient technique, gradient acceleration and successive simple...

In ordinal regression, a score function and threshold values are sought to classify a set of objects into a set of ranked classes. Classifying an individual in a class with higher (respectively lower) rank than its actual rank is called an upgrading (respectively downgrading) error. Since...

This paper examines whether we can improve the predictability of financial return series by exploiting the effect of cross-correlations among different financial markets. We forecast financial return series based on the support vector machines (SVM) method, which can surpass the random-walk...

The purpose of this paper is to develop and identify the best hybrid model to predict stock index returns. We develop three different hybrid models combining linear ARIMA and non-linear models such as support vector machines (SVM), artificial neural network (ANN) and random forest (RF) models to...