This paper considers a general, dynamic contracting problem with adverse selection and moral hazard, in which the agent's type stochastically evolves over time. The agent's final payoff depends on the entire history of private and public information, contractible decisions and the agent's hidden...

I build a dynamic model of the shadow banking system that intermediates funds through the interbank repo market to understand its efficiency and stability. The model emphasizes a key friction: the maturity mismatch between the short-term repo and the long-term investment that banks need to...

This paper quantifies the spillover effect of local exogenous shocks, such as earthquakes, to other firms through supply chain networks. Combining micro data on a large-scale inter-firm transaction network and geographic information on firm location, we examine the firm level impact of supply...

We document large differences across OECD countries in fluctuations of the intensive and extensive margin of labor supply over the business cycle. Countries with larger fluctuations in employment relative to hours per worker tend to display larger fluctuations in total hours worked. These facts...

We develop a theoretical framework to study illicit drugs markets, and we estimate it using data on drug purchases. Buyers are searching for high-quality drugs, but they can determine drugs' quality (i.e., their purity) only after consuming them. Hence, sellers can rip-off first-time buyers, or...

We show that the Carry Trade exploits a static interest rate differential which is largely unrelated to the fact that currencies whose interest rates exceed their long-run average tend to appreciate (the Forward Premium Puzzle). The evidence is consistent with the presence of a static risk...

The corporate income tax rate in the U.S. is almost forty percent. This high tax rate has been associated with depressing employment growth. Cutting or even eliminating corporate income tax has been proposed during the recent presidential campaigns based on the idea that a lower tax rate can...

We document that the co-movement of inflation and domestic consumption growth fluctuates over time. We argue that the co-movement of inflation and domestic consumption growth affects debt pricing and debt dynamics. In particular, a positive co-movement of inflation and consumption makes returns...

This paper revisits long-run determinants of house prices and analyzes the house price dynamics with the Korean data, while taking into account the close relationships between house prices and household debt. We also attempt to forecast trend house prices over the next five years. The result of...

This paper investigates how different monetary policy regime switching types impact macroeconomic dynamics. Policy switches that either affect the inflation target or the response to deviations of inflation from target leads to different determinacy regions and different output, interest rates,...