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We propose a theory of asset prices that emphasizes heterogeneous information as the main element determining prices of different securities. Our main analytical innovation is in formulating a model of noisy information aggregation through asset prices, which is parsimonious and tractable, yet...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009324079
We study the interplay of share prices and firm decisions when share prices aggregate and convey noisy information about fundamentals to investors and managers. First, we show that the informational feedback between the firm's share price and its investment decisions leads to a systematic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009275969
Aggregate stock market returns display negative skewness. Firm-level stock returns display positive skewness. The large … skewness. I then show that cross-sectional heterogeneity in firm announcement events can lead to negative skewness in aggregate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008553065
Survey respondents strongly disagree about return risks and, increasingly, macroeconomic uncertainty. This may have contributed to higher asset prices through increased use of collateralisation, which allows risk-neutral investors to realise perceived gains from trade. Investors with lower risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084220
Economists and financial analysts have begun to recognise the importance of the actions of other agents in the decision-making process. Herding is the deliberate mimicking of the decisions of other agents. Examples of mimicry range from the choice of restaurant, fashion and financial market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326188
This paper examines how monetary expansion causes asset bubbles. When there is no monetary expansion, a bubbly asset is not created due to a hold-up problem. Monetary expansion increases buyers' money holdings, and then, dealers are willing to buy a worthless asset from sellers, in hopes of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014534470
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009784945
Starting from basic hypotheses on how footprints from hidden orders are interpreted by short-term traders, we derive a fair price model that predicts market impact for non-uniform participation rate schedules. We use this model to derive an optimal execution schedule for a risk-averse trader....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013085877
In a market with informationally connected traders, the dynamics of volume, price informativeness, price-volatility, and price-impacts are severely affected by the number of information linkages every trader experiences with his neighbors. We show that in the presence of information linkages...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012730521
Investors who possess the same information and interpret it differently are said to have divergent (as distinct from) homogeneous expectations. Financial economists have widely frowned on the divergent expectations assumption. Nevertheless, this assumption describes reality and is critically...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012730622