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Foreign exchange windfalls such as those from natural resource revenues change non-resource exports, imports, and the … increase imports by 25 cents, implying a negligible effect on foreign saving. The negative per dollar impact on exports is … that the response to a dollar of resource revenue is, approximately, to decrease non-resource exports by 75 cents and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010820273
The permanent income rule is seldom the optimal response to a windfall of foreign exchange, such as that from a resource discovery. Absorptive capacity constraints require domestic investment, and investment in structures requires non-traded inputs the supply of which is constrained by the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010679294
The prescription of optimally managing natural resource revenue windfalls by smoothing consumption across generations using an intergenerational sovereign wealth fund that only invests in foreign assets is not appropriate for resource-rich developing economies. It is better for these economies...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011611262
Policy prescriptions for managing natural resource windfalls are based on the permanent income hypothesis: none of the windfall is invested at home and saving in an intergenerational SWF is dictated by smoothing consumption across different generations. Furthermore, with Dutch disease effects...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012960370
Many countries have failed to use natural resource wealth to promote growth and development. They have been damaged by volatility of revenues, have failed to save a sufficiently high proportion of their resource revenues and failed to make high return investments to support diversification of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009385762
Many countries have failed to use natural resource wealth to promote growth and development. They have been damaged by volatility of revenues, have failed to save a sufficiently high proportion of their resource revenues and failed to make high return investments to support diversification of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010551663
Many countries have failed to use natural resource wealth to promote growth and development. They have been damaged by the volatility of revenues and have failed to save a sufficiently high proportion of their resource revenues and failed to make high-return investments to support...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010822953
The response of an economy to a windfall of foreign exchange (be it aid or natural resource revenues) is often constrained by absorptive capacity. We provide a micro-founded analysis of absorption constraints, based on the idea that expanding the economy's capital stock (in aggregate or...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008725686
gap by exploring to what extent concentration of a country’s non-resource export basket is determined by their exports of … countries with larger shares of natural resources in exports have more concentrated non-resource export baskets. Second, we find … capital-intensive exports tend to dominate the export basket of countries prone to Dutch disease episodes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013239926
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009738912