Showing 1 - 10 of 112,246
In this paper we evaluate whether the accuracy of Finnish unemployment rate forecasts can be improved by utilising the … information in the flows into and out of unemployment. We compare and contrast different methodologies for constructing the flows …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014574000
In this paper we evaluate whether the accuracy of Finnish unemployment rate forecasts can be improved by utilising the … information in the flows into and out of unemployment. We compare and contrast different methodologies for constructing the flows …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014574908
This paper develops new estimates of flows into and out of unemployment that allow for unobserved heterogeneity across … workers as well as direct effects of unemployment duration on unemployment-exit probabilities. Unlike any previous paper in … shocks to the short-run, medium-run, and long-run variance of unemployment as well as to specific historical episodes. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012855699
disaggregate unemployment and in the cross-sectional differences across individuals of the duration of unemployment spells. The …-space model of Ahn and Hamilton (2016). I found that the contribution of each factor to the dynamics of disaggregate unemployment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013210435
disaggregate unemployment and in the cross-sectional differences across individuals of the duration of unemployment spells. The …-space model of Ahn and Hamilton (2016). I found that the contribution of each factor to the dynamics of disaggregate unemployment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011578275
In this paper we study international linkages when forecasting unemployment rates in a sample of 24 OECD economies. We … propose a Global Unemployment Factor (GUF) and test its predictive ability considering in-sample and out-of-sample exercises … information to predict domestic unemployment rates, at least for these last seven countries …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012845239
In this paper, the impact of stock market development on unemployment in South Africa has been empirically examined … using time-series data from 1980 to 2019. The study was motivated by the high level of structural unemployment facing the … the other hand. The study aims to add value to the finance-unemployment literature by using a range of stock market …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012613243
The authors analyse the macroeconomic impact of the French work-sharing reform of 2000 (a reduction of standard working hours in combination with wage subsidies). Using a vector error correction model (VECM) for several labour market variables as well as inflation and output the authors produce...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003744522
successfully utilized for macroeconomic predictions. Specifically, we study unemployment rates and their interconnection with job …-related searches. We show that Google searches enhance nowcasting models of unemployment rates for the Czech Republic and Hungary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010499586
then consider the joint impact of states' unemployment benefit programs and the federal CARES Act on national inequality …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012254047