Algieri, Bernardina; Leccadito, Arturo - In: Risks : open access journal 8 (2020) 1/27, pp. 1-15
The present study aims at modelling market risk for four commodities, namely West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil … Conditional Auto-Regressive Logit (CARL) models to predict risk measures for the futures return series of the considered … models in order to predict the probability of tail events and the Value-at-Risk and the Expected Shortfall risk measures for …