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considered before all use nonparametric statistics.On the technical side, we provide a novel approach to the pre-estimation …This paper offers an alternative technique to derive the limiting distribution of residual-based statistics or, more … general, the limiting distribution of statistics with estimated nuisance parameters.This technique allows us to unify many …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011092694
the asymptotic test distribution when applied to AR-GARCH type residuals obtained through QMLE estimation. To be precise …, we give exact expressions for the limiting null distribution of the test statistics applied to residuals, and find that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013078858
We apply non-linear error-correction models to the empirical testing of the sustainability of the government's intertemporal budget constraint. Our empirical analysis, based on Italy, shows that the Italian government is meeting its intertemporal budget constraint, in spite of the high levels of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003936661
World power and gas markets have a natural relationship with global tradable carbon permits markets, including the U.S. Clean Air Act Amendments and the EU Emissions Trading Scheme, the latter officially launched in January 2005. Electric utilities operate their power plants based in part on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003394343
This paper conducts an empirical analysis of the heterogeneity of recessions in monthly U.S. coincident and leading indicator variables. Univariate Markovswitching models indicate that it is appropriate to allow for two distinct recession regimes, corresponding with 'mild' and 'severe'...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009511771
The empirical joint distribution of return-pairs on stock indices displays high tail-dependence in the lower tail and low tail-dependence in the upper tail. The presence of tail-dependence is not compatible with the assumption of (conditional) joint normality. The presence of asymmetric-tail...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009725481
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009720726
This paper develops a Markov-Switching vector autoregressive model that allows for imperfect synchronization of cyclical regimes in multiple variables, due to phase shifts of a single common cycle. The model has three key features: (i) the amount of phase shift can be different across regimes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011382676
Hedge Fund returns are often highly serially correlated mainly due to illiquidity exposures given that investments in such securities tend to be inactively traded and associated market prices are not always readily available. Following that, observed returns of such alternative investments tend...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013118101
In the present study, we examine the relationship between inflation and inflation uncertainty using monthly Consumer Price Index for Tunisian, Turkish and Egypt covering the period 1990:M1-2014:M12. We adopt a multivariate asymmetric dynamic conditional correlation EGARCH framework. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013015304