This paper discusses the methodological views of David Hendry. A critique is given on the reification of the so-called Data Generating Process. The merits of general to specific modelling are analyzed. Hendry's neo-Popperian philosophy is examined. It is argued that this philosophy is not able...

This paper analyzes the controversy between Keynes and Tinbergen on econometric testing of business cycle theories. In his writings, Keynes repeatedly emphasizes a logical objection to Tinbergen s work. It is clarified what exactly this logical objection is, and why it matters for a statistical...

We consider the question whether top tennis players in a top tournament (Wimbledon) employ an optimal (efficient) service strategy.We show that top players do not, in general, follow an optimal strategy, and we provide a lower bound of the inefficiency.The inefficiency regarding winning a point...

Abstract: In specifying a regression equation, we need to determine which regressors to include, but also how these regressors are measured. This gives rise to two levels of uncertainty: concepts (level 1) and measurements within each concept (level 2). In this paper we propose a hierarchical...