The Basel Committee on Banking Supervision (BCBS) (2013) recently proposed shifting the quantitative risk metrics system from Value-at-Risk (VaR) to Expected Shortfall (ES). The BCBS (2013) noted that "a number of weaknesses have been identified with using VaR for determining regulatory capital...

We develop a misspecification test for the multiplicative two-component GARCH-MIDAS model suggested in Engle et al. (2013). In the GARCH-MIDAS model a short-term unit variance GARCH component fluctuates around a smoothly timevarying long-term component which is driven by the dynamics of a...

We show that technical indicators deliver economic value in predicting the U.S. equity premium. A crucial element of this value stems from the stability of return predictability over the full sample period from 1950 to 2013. Results tentatively improve over time and beat alternatives over...

In den meisten Steuersystemen werden Kapitalerträge aus Anleihen nach dem Zuflussprinzip besteuert. Gewinne oder Verluste durch Kursveränderungen der Anleihen werden demnach erst dann besteuert, wenn sie mit einer Veräußerung der Anleihe tatsächlich realisiert werden. Ein Anleger, der seine...

Kursgewinne oder -verluste bei Wertpapieren werden in den allermeisten Steuersystemen erst dann besteuert, wenn sie realisiert werden, d.h. wenn es zu einer Veräußerung des Wertpapieres kommt. Aus steuerlichen Gesichtspunkten sollten Gewinne dann möglichst spät und Verluste möglichst früh...

In this paper I pose an old fashioned question, "Why do capitalist economies evolve in the way that they do?" The answer will lie, on the one hand, in the nature of human curiosity and the corresponding growth of knowledge and, on the other hand, in the particular instituted rules of the game...

We explore whether the market variance risk premium (VRP) can be predicted. First, we propose a novel approach to measure VRP which distinguishes the investment horizon from the variance swap's maturity. We extract VRP from actual rather than synthetic S&P 500 variance swap quotes, thus avoiding...

This paper contains an empirical analysis of determinants of international integration projects over the time period 1995-2010. After a broad discussion of the existent literature, the investigation combines a large number of potentially relevant determinants for the explanation of whether stock...

This contribution addresses the impact of high-frequency electronic liquidity provision strategies on financial markets' intraday dynamics, by evaluating the interaction between multiple trading strategies within a computer laboratory, i.e. an artificial stock market. Initially, a realistic...

We perform a large simulation study to examine the extent to which various generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH) models capture extreme events in stock market returns. We estimate Hill's tail indexes for individual S&P 500 stock market returns ranging from 1995-2014...