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In this paper we examine the real estate returns predictability employing US REITs and a set of possible predictors for the period January 1991 to September 2013. To this end we employ several forecasting models to test for REITs predictability under a flexible framework that captures parameter...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011206177
This paper examines asymmetries in the impact of monetary policy on the middle segment of the South African housing market from 1966:M2 to 2011:M12. We use Markov-switching vector autoregressive (MS-VAR) model in which parameters change according to the phase of the housing cycle. The results...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010664390
This paper examines asymmetries in the impact of monetary policy on the middle segment of the South African housing market from 1966:M2 to 2011:M12. We use Markov-switching vector autoregressive (MS-VAR) in which parameters change according to the phase of the housing cycle. The results suggest...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010582201
This paper examines asymmetries in the impact of monetary policy on the middle segment of the South African housing market from 1966:M2 to 2011:M12. We use Markov-switching vector autoregressive (MS-VAR) models in which parameters change according to the phase of the housing cycle. The results...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010603882
The causality between the real estate and stock markets of China remains a mystery in the literature. This paper … conditional quantiles. The results of the quantile causality test suggest a significant causal relationship between these two …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011109714
The causality between the real estate and stock markets of China remains a mystery in the literature. This paper … conditional quantiles. The results of the quantile causality test suggest a significant causal relationship between these two …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010930702
series. Thus, in this study, both linear and nonparametric cointegration and Granger Causality tests were conducted utilizing … between house and stock prices. At the same time, the linear Granger causality test produced no evidence of causality running …-run one-to-one relationship between the two series, with the nonparametric Granger causality test, in addition, indicating a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009401049
This survey features three parts. The first one covers the recent literature on domestic (i.e., country-specific) uncertainty and offers ten main takeaways. The second part reviews contributions on the fast-growing strand of the literature focusing on the macroeconomic effects of uncertainty...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012141101
This survey features three parts. The first one covers the recent literature on domestic (i.e., country-specific) uncertainty and offers ten main takeaways. The second part reviews contributions on the fast-growing strand of the literature focusing on the macroeconomic effects of uncertainty...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012119543
We investigate the effects of uncertainty shocks on unemployment dynamics in the post-WWII U.S. recessions via non-linear (Smooth-Transition) VARs. The relevance of uncertainty shocks is found to be much larger than that predicted by standard linear VARs in terms of i) magnitude of the reaction...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011156749