Commodity terms of trade shocks have continued to drive macroeconomic ‡uctuations in most emerging market economies. The volatility and persistence of these shocks have posed great challenges for monetary policy. This study employs a New Keynesian Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium...

In seinem Kommentar zeigt Dirk Meyer, Helmut-Schmidt-Universität, Hamburg, zwei grundlegende Handlungsalternativen – die Einführung eines dauerhaften Stabilisierungsmechanismus in Verbindung mit einem Umbau der Europäischen Verträge oder eine Neuordnung der Währungsunion im Sinne einer...

Die Leitzinsen der Zentralbanken sind ein bedeutendes Politikinstrument. Weil jedoch Zentralbänker und nicht Regierungen die Leitzinsen bestimmen, haben Politiker einen Anreiz, Zentralbänker derart zu beeinflussen, dass die Zinssätze nach dem Belieben der Politik verändert werden. Niklas...

In this paper, we attempt to estimate reaction functions of the Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey (CBRT) based on Taylor rule and Hybrid McCallum-Taylor rule. We apply Generalized Methods of Moments (GMM) and Limited Information Maximum Likelihood (LIML) methods for estimating monetary...

The relationship between interest rates and exchange rates is puzzling and poorly understood. But under some standard assumptions, interest rates can be adjusted to smooth real exchange rate movements at the possible price of increased volatility in other variables. In New Zealand, estimates...

This paper offers an explication of the hump-shaped response of real economic activity to changes in monetary policy, focusing on the particular channel operating through new home sales. I suggest that the conventional notion of a monetary policy shock as a surprise change in the fed funds rate...

This paper presents empirical evidence on the hypothesis that aggregate price disturbances cause or worsen financial instability. We construct two annual indexes of financial conditions for the United States covering 1790-1997, and estimate the effect of aggregate price shocks on each index...

This essay discusses rules for monetary policy in open economies. If policymakers seek to stabilize output and inflation, optimal rules in open economies differ considerably from optimal rules in closed economies. In open economies, stability is best achieved by targeting long-run inflation' a...

Once the zero-bound on nominal interest rates is taken into account, Taylor-type interest-rate feedback rules give rise to unintended self-fulfilling decelerating inflation paths and aggregate fluctuations driven by arbitrary revisions in expectations. These undesirable equilibria exhibit the...

In the period from the floating of the exchange rate in 1972 to the granting of independence to the Bank of England in 1997, UK monetary policy went through several regimes, including: the early 1970s, when monetary policy was subordinate to incomes policy as the primary weapon against...