This study examines the volatility spillovers between the foreign exchange rate markets of three of the USA's major trading partners and the US stock market, utilizing the forecast-error variance decomposition framework of a VAR model proposed by Diebold and Yilmaz (2009). The empirical results,...

We investigate the causality between the real federal budget deficit returns and real stock market returns for the US economy. We divide the overall sample into two sub-samples running from 1968:1 to 1988:3 and from 1988:4 to 2011:3. In contrast to earlier studies, we find a significant positive...

Taiwan has indicated its interest in joining the Trans-Pacific Partnership Agreement. In this report, we evaluate the implications of Taiwan's accession for the United States to inform the negotiation process. We consider the sectoral export prospects for U.S. industry and provide estimates of...

In this paper, we investigate the dynamic link between recessions and stock market liquidity by examining the predictive content of illiquidity for US recessions. After controlling for other commonly featured recession predictors such as term spreads and credit spreads, we find that the...

The history of derivatives regulation in the United States has been non-linear, exhibiting wide oscillations between, on the one hand, heavy Federal regulation, including the outright prohibition of whole classes of transactions and, on the other hand, unfettered free markets in large portions...