This paper investigates how bank profitability is affected by corporate income tax (CIT) using aggregate data on the banking sector of the main industrialized countries for the period 1981-2003. Two main novelties emerge with respect to the existing literature. First, the paper explicitly...

Le present rapport resume les perspectives nationales et provinciales etablies par Informetrica Limited pour le Systeme de projections des professions au Canada (SPPC) de Developpement des ressources humaines Canada. Les simulations relatives a l'economie nationale et aux economies provinciales...

This paper investigates the ex post rational price of Shiller (1981) to determine if it is a reliable guide to fundamental valuations of dividend-yielding assets. The ex post rational price is widely used to determine whether stock market price movements are rational responses to market news or...

This paper proposes a new approach to modeling volatility changes and clustering, we use a parsimonious high-order markov chain which allows for duration dependence.

In this paper, the authors provide some asymptotic results for the J-type test on non-nested hypotheses proposed by Davidson and MacKinnon (1981), in the context of I(1) time series.

In this paper, we apply a collection of parametric (Normal, Normal GARCH, Student GARCH, RiskMetrics and high-frequency duration models) and non-parametric (empirical quantile, extreme distributions models) Value-at-Risk (VaR) techniques to intraday data for three stocks traded on the New York...

In this Paper we incorporate the term structure of interest rates in a standard inflation forecast targeting framework. Learning about the transmission process of monetary policy is introduced by having heterogeneous agents - i.e. the central bank and private agents - who have different...

This paper shows how to compute the in-sample effect of exogenous inputs on the endogenous variables in any linear model written in state-space form. Estimating this component may be, either interesting by itself, or a previous step before decomposing a time series into trend, cycle, seasonal...

Under the Basel II Accord, banks and other Authorized Deposit-taking Institutions (ADIs) have to communicate their daily risk estimates to the monetary authorities at the beginning of the trading day, using a variety of Value-at-Risk (VaR) models to measure risk. Sometimes the risk estimates...

This paper decomposes the large regression residuals of income across 84 U.S. Native American economies (USNAEs) into Solow and Solow-like parts. Decomposition is accomplished algebraically. The calculations find a weak to negative correlation between income and Solow residuals, and a strong...