This paper presents a new class of time-deformation (or stochastic volatility) models for stock returns sampled in transaction time and directed by a generalized duration process. Stochastic volatility in this model is driven by an observed duration process and a latent autoregressive process....

A class of autoregressive moving-average (ARMA) models proposed by Jørgensen and Song [Journal of Applied Probability (1998), vol. 35, pp. 78-92] with exponential dispersion model margins are useful to deal with non-normal stationary time series with high-order autocorrelation. One property...

This paper proposes a new time-deformation model for stock returns sampled in transaction time and directed by a generalized duration process. Stochastic volatility in this model is driven by an observed duration process and a latent autoregressive process. Parameter estimation in the model is...

This article proposes stochastic conditional duration (SCD) models with "leverage effect" for financial transaction data, which extends both the autoregressive conditional duration (ACD) model (Engle and Russell, 1998, Econometrica, 66, 1127--1162) and the existing SCD model (Bauwens and...

This article proposes stochastic conditional duration (SCD) models with quot;leverage effectquot; for financial transaction data, which extends both the autoregressive conditional duration (ACD) model (Engle and Russell, 1998, Econometrica, 66, 1127-1162) and the existing SCD model (Bauwens and...

The dynamic analysis of corporate credit ratings is needed for predicting the risk included in a credit portfolio at different horizons. In this paper, we present the estimation of an ordered probit model with factors for the migration probabilities, with its application to aggregate data...

A class of autoregressive moving-average (ARMA) models proposed by Jorgensen and Song [Journal of Applied Probability (1998), Vol. 35, pp. 78-92] with exponential dispersion model margins are useful to deal with non-normal stationary time series with high-order autocorrelation. One property...