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Este documento de trabajo provee un análisis empírico de la relación entre movimientos del tipo de cambio y los principales índices de precios en los países de la OECD. El análisis del trabajo esta centrado en cómo diferentes ambientes inflacionarios permitirían explicar el descenso en...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005443342
Cross-country evidence suggests that during recent years a large fraction of developing countries seem to began to overcome fear of oating, i.e., a lower relative volatility of exchange rates to monetary policy instruments. To explain this trend, we build a model that describes the behavior of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005443343
Adopting a legal definition of informality, this article studies the causes of informality in general and with a particular application to Peru. It starts with a discussion on the definition and measures of informality, as well as on the reasons why widespread informality should be of great...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005443344
This paper evaluates from a microeconomic perspective the lending cost determinants in the Peruvian banking system in the June 2004-December 2005 period. The evaluation considers the credit market segments identified in a prior study (published in 2002). Furthermore, it reviews the progress...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005443345
It is well documented that macroeconomic fundamentals are little help in predicting changes in nominal exchange rates compared to the predictions made by a simple random walk. Lettau and Ludvigson (2001) find that fluctuations in the common long-term trend in consumption, asset wealth, and labor...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005443346
In this paper we extend the neoclassical model presented by Baxter and King (1993) to evaluate the effects of two alternative fiscal policy rules on the business cycle. The rules we analyze are similar to those implemented in practice by some countries, such as: limits to the structural fiscal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005694885
This paper investigates how monetary policy should react to oil shocks in a microfounded model with staggered price-setting and oil as a non-produced input in the production function. We extend Benigno and Woodford (2005) to obtain a second order approximation to the expected utility of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005694886
We develop a small open economy general equilibrium model with sticky prices and partial dollarization -a situation where both domestic and foreign currencies coexist. We derive a tractable representation of the model in terms of domestic inflation and the output gap in which a trade-off, which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005694887
En los bancos centrales se suele utilizar modelos no estructurales y semi-estructurales para predecir diversas variables, especialmente la inflación, cuyo control es su principal objetivo. El Sistema de Predicción Desagregada (SPD) es un conjunto de modelos SparseVAR no estructurales usados...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005694888
El documento estima la frontera eficiente de los fondos de pensiones administrados por las AFP (FP) para el período 1995-2004, usando el modelo de portafolio de Markowitz. Dicha frontera nos sirve de referencia teórica para evaluar el impacto de las regulaciones sobre el desempeño de los...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005694890