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In this paper we introduce a new method of forecasting covariance matrices of large dimensions by exploiting the theoretical and empirical potential of using mixed-frequency sampled data. The idea is to use high-frequency (intraday) data to model and forecast daily realized volatilities combined...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010595543
This paper proposes a new method for forecasting covariance matrices of financial returns. The model mixes volatility forecasts from a dynamic model of daily realized volatilities estimated with high-frequency data with correlation forecasts based on daily data. This new approach allows for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008802540
This double-issue contains 11 papers invited for the first special issue on “Computational methods for Russian economic and financial modelling”. It was an attempt to explore and bring together practical, state-of-the-art applications of computational techniques with a particular focus on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011114387
A new estimator is proposed for linear triangular systems, where identification results from the model errors following a bivariate and diagonal GARCH(1,1) process with potentially time-varying error covariances. This estimator applies when traditional instruments are unavailable. I demonstrate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013037626
A new method is proposed for estimating linear triangular models, where identification results from the structural errors following a bivariate and diagonal GARCH(1,1) process. The associated estimator is a GMM estimator shown to have the usual √T-asymptotics. A Monte Carlo study of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009322633
We introduce the notion of realized copula. Based on assumptions of the marginal distri- butions of daily stock returns and a copula family, realized copula is dened as the copula structure materialized in realized covariance estimated from within-day high-frequency data. Copula parameters are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010549032
We introduce the notion of realized copula. Based on assumptions of the marginal distributions of daily stock returns and a copula family, realized copula is defined as the copula structure materialized in realized covariance estimated from within-day highfrequency data. Copula parameters are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010550484
We find that the difference between implied and realized variation, or the variance risk premium, is able to explain more than fifteen percent of the ex-post time series variation in quarterly excess returns on the market portfolio over the 1990 to 2005 sample period, with high (low) premia...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005787556
We introduce the notion of realized copula. Based on assumptions of the marginal distributions of daily stock returns and a copula family, realized copula is defined as the copula structure materialized in realized covariance estimated from within-day high-frequency data. Copula parameters are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010318779
Volatility derivatives are a class of derivative securities where the payoff explicitly depends on some measure of the volatility of an underlying asset. Prominent examples of these derivatives include variance swaps and VIX futures and options. We provide an overview of the current market for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008777002