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We investigate the effect of including variance derivatives as calibration and hedging instruments for pricing and hedging exotic structures. This is studied empirically using market data for SPX and VIX derivatives applied in a stochastic volatility jump diffusion model
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013113731
The goal of this paper is to show that the growth rate of the Baltic Dry Index (BDI) has predictive ability for a range of stock markets, which is demonstrated through in-sample tests and out-of-sample statistics.The documented stock return predictability is also of economic significance, as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013115046
We contrast two different asset pricing models, where the pricing kernel either (i) increases in the volatility dimension, reflecting investors' aversion to volatility, or (ii) could be non-monotonic in volatility, reflecting heterogeneity in investors' beliefs. The two models yield opposite...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013115088
The goal of this paper is to show that the growth rate of the Baltic Dry Index (BDI) has predictive ability for a range of stock markets, which is demonstrated through in-sample tests and out-of-sample statistics.The documented stock return predictability is also of economic significance, as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013115293
This article examines the impact of regulation on lending standards during the mortgage boom. We exploit the overall regulatory wedge between banks and independent mortgage companies (IMCs) and a variation in this regulatory wedge across states induced by a cross-sectional variation in state...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013115390
Trading by commodity index traders (CITs) has become an important aspect of financial markets over the past 10 years. We develop an equilibrium model of trader behavior that relates uninformed CIT trading to futures prices. The model predicts that CIT trading reduces the cost of hedging. We test...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013115392
Relative performance is central to investment management and yet relative performance securities do not trade directly. Complex trading strategies must be devised to capture relative gains. This paper introduces a suite of relative performance indexes and index derivatives that offer new and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013115595
This article examines trading behavior in the options market conditioned on mispricing in the underlying stock. We investigate the price equilibrium between the observed equity asset and the options-implied synthetic share as well as the relative divergence between the two prices. We find a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013116041
This paper presents an option positioning that allows us to infer forward variances from option portfolios. The forward variances we construct from equity index options help to predict (i) growth in measures of real economic activity, (ii) Treasury bill returns, (iii) stock market returns, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013116049
When the pricing kernel is U-shaped, then expected returns of claims with payout on the upside are negative for strikes beyond a threshold, determined by the slope of the U-shaped kernel in its increasing region, and have negative partial derivative with respect to strike in the increasing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013116311