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discontinuity in sovereign debt pricing. This study suggests that debt forgiveness is a more effective solution in debt crisis, as …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011260952
Following the financial crisis effects, the issue of debt sustainability became of global importance, even for … international security reasons. In the EU, despite post-crisis fiscal austerity measures aimed at rebalancing the public finances …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011201268
We build a tractable stylized model of external sovereign debt and endogenous international interest rates. In corrupt economies with rent-seeking groups stealing public resources, a politico-economic equilibrium is characterized by permanent fiscal impatience which leads to excessive issuing of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009228617
The reduction of Greek sovereign debt by €106 billion, agreed in the second bailout package of February 2012, is the largest in history. Nevertheless, immediately after publishing the key terms of the package, doubts arose whether it would achieve its goals: to reduce the debt-to-GDP ratio to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010737489
This paper explores the dominant role of politics in decisions made by euro area governments during the crisis … discussed. The domination of politics over economics has led to crisis mismanagement. The underlying cause of tension is … noncooperative manner. This has magnified the costs of the crisis and has resulted in an unbalanced and divisive incidence of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084126
This paper provides a set of stylized facts on the mechanisms through which banking and sovereign distress feed into each other, using a large sample of emerging economies over three decades. We first define “twin crises” as events where banking crises and sovereign defaults combine, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084959
The recent European debt crisis has sparked a heated debate on the merits of fiscal austerity. Since the main objective …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011185845
We develop a dynamic recursive model where political and economic decisions interact, to study how excessive debt-GDP ratios affect political sustainability of prudent fiscal policies. Rent seeking groups make political decisions - to cooperate (or not) - on the allocation of fiscal budgets...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011306990
We build a tractable stylized model of external sovereign debt and endogenous international interest rates. In corrupt economies with rent-seeking groups stealing public resources, a politico-economic equilibrium is characterized by permanent fiscal impatience which leads to excessive issuing of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010277405
The paper analyzes and tests various quantitative models to assess the probability of default of sovereign debt, such as scoring models, univariate analysis as well as logit models.The outcomes of the different models are not at a level that they could be used for forecasting or rating. There...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012590182