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Forecasting-volatility models typically rely on either daily or high frequency (HF) data and the choice between these two categories is not obvious. In particular, the latter allows to treat volatility as observable but they suffer of many limitations. HF data feature microstructure problem,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011730304
This paper studies the efficiency of an econometric model where the volatility is modeled by a GARCH (1,1) process, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010857990
Smooth Transition GARCH and the Markov-Switching GARCH models. Simulation experiments reveal that information criteria and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011276476
heteroskedasticity. GARCH models have thus become very popular, given their ability to account for volatility clustering and, implicitly … weaknesses we apply GARCH-type models with alpha-stable innovations. The stable family of distributions constitutes a … GARCH(1,1) and a TGARCH(1,1) with symmetric stable shocks using as auxiliary model a GARCH(1,1) with skew-t innovations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011260772
This paper explores the financial linkages between the Romanian stock market and the exchange market in the context of the global crisis. We investigate such relations for two periods of time: one from January 2006 to February 2008, when the Romanian financial markets were quite tranquil and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008692254
This paper investigates sensitivity of U.S. natural gas price to crude oil price changes, using time-varying coefficient models. Identification of the range of variation of the sensitivity of natural gas price to oil price change allows more accurate assessment of upper and minimum risk levels...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004961504
the very same day), or dynamic/lagged (with one day lag). A GARCH (1,1) model of modelling volatility has been undertaken …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008543770
the asymptotic properties of the two approaches. Their performances are compared for finite-order GARCH models and for the … infinite ARCH. For the standard GARCH(p, q) and the Asymmetric Power GARCH(p,q), it is shown that the ARE of the estimators …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008470471
Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model of Bollerslev (1986) with the Exponential Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010739312
forecast errors estimated by a GARCH model. The new measure is based on both common and private information available to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010572428