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A panel data set for six Central and Eastern European countries (the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, Romania, Slovakia and Slovenia) is used to estimate the monetary exchange rate model with panel cointegration methods, including the Pooled Mean Group estimator, the Fully Modified Least Square...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005561077
We examine the out-of-sample predictive power of real time linear monetary models with possible nonlinear adjustment in forecast errors for the GBP/USD exchange rates. Real time revisions of U.K. and U.S. monetary aggregates and output are significant; therefore the use of final data on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005667279
A natural experiment with an exchange-rate band in Austria-Hungary in the early 20th century provides a rare opportunity to discuss critical aspects of the theory of target zones. Providing a new derivation of the target zone model as a set of nested hypotheses, the inference is drawn that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005661480
Evidence in favour of the monetary model of exchange rate determination for the South African Rand is at best mixed. A co-integrating relationship between the nominal exchange rate and fundamentals forms the basis of the monetary model. With the econometric literature suggesting that it is the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009370795
exchange misalignment is not directly observed and its precision depends on the coefficients that link fundamentals to real … and suggest a bootstrap approach to calculate error bands. The misalignment estimative is based on cointegration … is important to highlight the precision and the limitations of the misalignment exchange rate calculus exercise and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010330572
RER misalignment under different exchange rate policies considered, model results indicated that the naira was overvalued …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011961660
This paper develops a NATREX (NATural Real EXchange rate) model for two large economies, the Eurozone and the United States, which are fully specified and allowed to interact. After description of the theoretical framework grounding on dynamic disequilibrium modelling approach in continuous...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010264355
The aim of this paper is to provide new empirical evidence on the impact of international financial integration on the long-run Real Exchange Rate (RER) in 39 developing countries belonging to three different geographical regions (Latin America, Asia and MENA). It covers the period 1979-2004,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010266058
The aim of this paper is to provide new empirical evidence on the impact of international financial integration on the long-run Real Exchange Rate (RER) in 39 developing countries belonging to three different geographical regions (Latin America, Asia and MENA). It covers the period 1979-2004,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010271098
The aim of this paper is to provide new empirical evidence on the impact of international financial integration on the long-run Real Exchange Rate (RER) in 39 developing countries belonging to three different geographical regions (Latin America, Asia and MENA). It covers the period 1979-2004,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010271575