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The topic of contagion has gained importance in the last few decades, earning its place amongst the most debated topics in international economics. Contagion is a phenomenon where market disturbances in crisis times are observed to spread from one country to the other in the form of comovements...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011964042
I build a small open economy (SOE) dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model to investigate the effect of a heterogeneous wage contract between regular and temporary workers on a macroeconomic volatility in a financially fragile economy. The imperfect financial market condition is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011765066
This paper investigates the development of external imbalances from an international perspective by estimating a Global VAR model for the period 1981Q1-2009Q4 with a setup close to that of an international real business cycle model. The model considers 28 countries of which 10 are aggregated as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010859417
This eBook covers the more relevant subjects in international finance and risk managment from an emerging markets perspective. The general approach is on open economy macroeconomics, very useful to comprehend the main effects of the financial crisis of 2008 and understand international finance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010904544
In an estimated two-country DSGE model, we find that shocks to the marginal efficiency of investment account for more than half of the forecast variance of cyclical fluctuations in the US trade balance. Both domestic and foreign marginal efficiency shocks have a substantial impact on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011272799
Although the world’s leading central banks are currently still conducting a decidedly expansionary monetary policy, it can be assumed that, sooner or later, that policy will be tightened. In view of the divergent macroeconomic situations and prospects, the normalisation of monetary policy is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011272850
The paradoxical behavior of the dollar since 1980 poses a challenge to standard models of open economy macroeconomics. Using the dollar as a fulcrum, the original essays in this book discuss the causes of the dramatic shifts in the dollar's exchange value during the past decade and the effect of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005237342
This paper studies the role of the German economy for the existence of the so called European business cycle, a term referring to the regularly observed synchronization of the national business cycles in Europe. Using a three-country general equilibrium model, we are able to simulate impulse...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005342410
A growing body of empirical evidence suggests that a positive technology shock leads to a temporary decline in employment. A two-country model is used to demonstrate that the open economy dimension can enhance the ability of sticky price models to account for the evidence. The reasoning is as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005082975
A growing body of empirical evidence suggests that a positive technology shock leads to a temporary decline in employment. A two-country model is used to demonstrate that the open economy dimension can enhance the ability of sticky price models to account for the evidence. The reasoning is as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005082992