The paper introduces four unbiased probability-simulators which produce continuous (simulated) log-likelihood functions with almost everywhere continuous derivatives. Identification conditions are derived which show that in the presence of intercepts in the latent utilities, then the shocks'...

Macro prudential regulation requires a rigorous process for calculating bank capital charges based on their systemic risk. Using data from the largest global financial institutions we document the existence of extreme event dependence between banks during the recent financial crisis....

This collection of papers analyzes the versatility and predictive power of survey expectations data in asset pricing and macroeconomic forecasting. The first paper, Using Sentiment Surveys to Predict GDP Growth and Stock Returns sheds new light on the question of whether or not sentiment...

The recent analytical closed-form result ('http://ssrn.com/abstract=2549033' http://ssrn.com/abstract=2549033) discovered by Market Memory Trading L.L.C. (“MMT”) for the probability density function of the European style options with stochastic volatility, considered within the Heston model,...

The first ever explicit formulation of the concept of the option's probability density functions has been introduced in our publications “Breakthrough in Understanding Derivatives and Option Based Hedging - Marginal and Joint Probability Density Functions of Vanilla Options - True...

[Update: Within four weeks of the original publication of this research report, Risk Magazine reported in its 28th February 2012 issue story titled 'Goodbye VaR? Basel to Consider Other Risk Metrics': "A review of trading book capital rules, due to be launched in March by the Basel Committee on...

India has the world's second largest urban population (after China). This paper shows the large disparities within this urban population in health related indicators. It shows the disparities for child and maternal health, provision for health care and housing conditions between the poorest...

This article introduces the R package oaxaca to perform the Blinder-Oaxaca decomposition, a statistical method that decomposes the gap in mean outcomes across two groups into a portion that is due to differences in group characteristics and a portion that cannot be explained by such differences....