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It is widely recognised that as the population ages there will be potentially significant implications for a wide range …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012115515
This working paper provides further detail on the modelling behind Challenges and Choices – New Zealand's Long-Term Fiscal Statement, published on 29 October 2009. Building on the first Statement of 2006, we construct two main fiscal scenarios over a 40- year horizon. The historic trends...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012115616
This paper presents stochastic projections for 13 categories of social spending in New Zealand over the period 2011-2061. These projections are based on detailed demographic estimates covering fertility, migration and mortality disaggregated by single year of age and gender. Distributional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012115642
. Using population per value adjusted acre as a measure of population pressure, our results indicate that on the eve of the … Great Famine of 1846{50, population pressure was positively associated with both illiteracy rates and the prevalence of poor … quality housing. But while our analysis shows that population pressure was one of the primary factors underpinning pre …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011941282
I present the first database of historical local population figures for all Germany. The German Local Population … Database (GPOP) includes total population in 1871, 1910, 1939, 1946, 1961, 1987, 1996, 2011, and 2019 for the universe of all …. For example, East and West Germany are heavily diverging in population since 1945; and the divide was not reversed but …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013353468
The population projections elaborated in this work sought to fulfi ll the objective of producing quantitative inputs … years, in order to obtain the structure and composition of the Brazilian population in the medium and long term, and thus … foreseen in the projections. However, it is possible to obtain very reasonable population projections with the elaboration of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012802816
development. In low-income countries, young adults that are born into smaller cohorts are less likely to work, but school … attendance remains unchanged. In middle-income countries, young adults in smaller cohorts are less likely to be unemployed and … middle-income countries, but there is scant evidence that these improvements persist into adulthood. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010377303
education events at the individual level. The model projects educational participation and attainment of the population over a … Hungarian Census of 2001 as the initial model population. We present the results of the base scenario when all parameters … (transition probabilities) are assumed to be timeinvariant, that is, this scenario projects education level of the population on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010494724
Nations World Population Policies database, and the World Bank World Development Indicators for the period 1976 through 2013 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011780699
impact on the native population of the region. We then explore the impact of the epidemic using three approaches. First, we … the epidemic in the context of the fur trade of the region; and finally, we suggest a measure of the population decline … based on backward projections of later population estimates and the likely pre-epidemic population given the carrying …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010290387