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The evaluation of the output cost of monetary stabilization is one of the main macro questions to be addressed when comparing alternative strategies and paths to monetary convergence in the economies in transition. In general, the evaluation of the output costs of stabilization (and hence of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014122455
The purpose of this paper is to present the role of the exchange rate stability in a small and open economy, where the case of the Republic of Macedonia is investigated. Also, an accent is given to the role of the expectations of the economic agents for the future movements of the exchange rate,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014050275
We use a structural VAR model with short-term restrictions to investigate the relative importance of interest rate, exchange rate and credit channels in the monetary policy transmission (MPT) for the Czech Republic, Hungary and Poland over 1993:1-2004:3. Main results are as follows. First, in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014061827
Russian crude oil gained 33.5% in value from the previous year, selling at an average of $70.9 per barrel in the period between January and November 2018. The increase stemmed from, among other things, a cooperative agreement to limit oil production, known as OPEC+. Global oil prices dropped...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014108502
We estimate a small structural model for inflation, the output gap, the domestic interest rate and the exchange rate for Hungary during the period of the transition (1991-99). The transmission of monetary policy impulses to macro variables is characterized in a similar fashion to that of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014117685
In 1991, the rate of inflation in the Czech Republic, Hungary and Poland was between 35% and 70%. At the end of 2001, it is below 8%. We setup a small structural macro model of these economies to explain the process of disinflation. Contrary to a widespread skepticism, which permeated a large...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014120553
Monetary policies of Poland, Hungary and the Czech Republic have undergone a significant transformation in the 1990s. The initial currency peg and the exchange-rate-based monetary policy has been gradually replaced by more flexible exchange rates and money-based policies. Preparations for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014065616
This paper proposes a new monetary policy framework for effectively navigating the path to adopting the euro. The proposed policy is based on relative inflation forecast targeting and incorporates an ancillary target of declining exchange rate risk, which is suggested as a key criterion for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014066924
This study proposes the adoption of money growth rules as indicator variables of monetary policies by the countries converging to a common currency system, in particular, by the eurozone candidate countries. The analytical framework assumes an inflation target as the ultimate policy goal. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014066969
This study examines feasibility of adopting money growth rules as indicator variables of monetary policies for the countries converging to a common currency system, in particular, to the euro. The analytical framework assumes inflation target as the ultimate policy goal. The converging countries...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014067011