This paper examines whether the political colour of an incumbent government affects the speed at which fiscal imbalances are corrected in the case of the UK. Using quarterly data, we examine whether Conservative or Labour governments are more prone to operate under a soft budget constraint and...

American equity mutual funds of varying investment styles investing in Europe is examined, using Value at Risk (VaR) and expected tail loss (ETL) models developed through three techniques (parametric, nonparametric and style-based approach). Alternative VaR and ETL implementations might impact...

This study examines the significance of risk modelling and asymmetries when researchers test the popular economic theories concerning the term structure of interest rates. A panel data set of returns on government bond portfolios was used and methods to account for related movements in risk...

Recent research in developed countries provides evidence for the significant role of the yield spread on real economic activity. Using k-months industrial production growth rate model, this article attempts to ascertain whether similar results are obtained for countries from East Europe (Czech...

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to investigate, both theoretically and empirically, the institutional setting of monetary policy making that mitigates the effects of productive public investment on inflation persistence. Design/methodology/approach In the theoretical approach, the authors...

Purpose This paper aims to investigate the effects of contractionary fiscal policy shocks on major Greek macroeconomic variables within a structural vector autoregression framework while accounting for debt dynamics. Design/methodology/approach The sign restriction approach is applied to...

Reviews previous research on exchange rate forecasting, identifies some problems in building a predictive model and examines the profitability of using various technical rules (as used by traders) in the USD/DM and USD/BP foreign exchange markets. Takes 1989‐1996 data, divided into two...

Outlines previous research on international investment portfolios and presents a study of diversification and hedging on money market, bond and equity funds from UK, US and Japanese investors’ points of view. Explains the methodology, uses 1995‐1998 data to calculate returns and discusses...