This paper examines whether the firm-level accrual and cash flow effects extend to the aggregate stock market. In sharp contrast to previous firm-level findings, aggregate accruals is a strong positive time series predictor of aggregate stock returns, and cash flows is a negative predictor. In...

Futures hedging and pricing are examined in a model with two consumption goods, stochastic output, and sequential information arrival. Positive (negative) complementarity in consumer preferences promotes greater futures risk premia. The partial equilibrium conclusion that risk premia are a...

If investors have limited attention, then accounting outcomes that saliently highlight positive aspects of a firm's performance will promote high market valuations. When cumulative accounting value added (net operating income) over time outstrips cumulative cash value added (free cash flow), it...

Psychological evidence and casual intuition predict that sunny weather is associated with upbeat mood. This paper examines the relation between morning sunshine at a country's leading stock exchange and market index stock returns that day at 26 stock exchanges internationally from 1982- 97....

Two means by which commodity producers can reduce their exposure to quantity risk are share contracting and futures hedging. This paper explains the coexistence of these arrangements by showing that these will normally be complementary means of transferring risk. Share contracting by a purchaser...