Fleet demand for alternative-fuel vehicles ('AFVs' operating on fuels such as electricity, compressed natural gas, or methanol) is investigated through an analysis of a 1994 survey of 2000 fleet sites in California. This survey gathered information on site characteristics, awareness of mandates...

This chapter forecasts transportation energy demand, for both the U.S. and California, for the next 20 years. Our guiding principle has been to concentrate our efforts on the most important segments of the market. We therefore provide detailed projections for gasoline (58 % of California...

The vehicle choice model developed here is one component in a mlcro-slmulatlon demand forecasting system being designed to produce annual forecasts of new and used vehicle demand by vehicle type and geographic area in Cahforma. The system will also forecast annual vehicle miles traveled for all...

The adoption of congestion pricing depends fundamentally upon drivers' willingness to pay to reduce travel time during the congested morning peak period. Using reveled preference data from congestion pricing demonstration project San Diego, we estimate that willingness to pay to reduce congested...

This paper discusses important developments in discrete choice modeling for transportation applications. Since there have been a number of excellent recent surveys of the discrete choice literature aimed at transportation applications (see Bhat, 1997 and 2000a), this paper will concentrate on...

The adoption of congestion pricing depends fundamentally upon drivers' willingness to pay to reduce travel time during the congested morning peak period. Using revealed preference data from a congestion pricing demonstration project in San Diego, we estimate that willingness to pay to reduce...

We describe and apply choice models, including generalizations of logit called 'mixed logits,' that do not exhibit the restrictive 'independence from irrelevant alternatives' property and can approximate any substitution pattern. The models are estimated on data from a stated-preference survey...

We compare multinomial logit and mixed logit models for data on California households' revealed and stated preferences for automobiles. The stated preference (SP) data elicited households' preferences among gasoline, electric, methanol, and compressed natural gas vehicles with various...

Fleet demand for alternative-fuel vehicles ('AFVs' operating on fuels such as electricity, compressed natural gas, or methanol) is investigated through an analysis of a 1994 survey of 2000 fleet sites in California. This survey gathered information on site characteristics, awareness, of mandates...

This paper describes an ongoing project to develop a demand forecasting model for clean-fuel vehicles in California. Large-scale surveys of both households and commercial fleet operators have been carried out. These data are being used to calibrate a new micro-simulation based vehicle demand...