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The article examines whether commodity risk is priced in the cross-section of global equity returns. We employ a long-only equally-weighted portfolio of commodity futures and a term structure portfolio that captures phases of backwardation and contango as mimicking portfolios for commodity risk....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012904741
In this paper we determine whether speculative bubbles in one region in the US can lead bubbles to form in others. We first apply a regime-switching model to determine whether speculative bubbles existed in the US regional residential real estate markets. Our findings suggest that the housing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013066764
This paper examines the dynamics of the residential property market in the US between 1960 and 2011. Given the cyclicality and apparent overvaluation of the market over this period, we determine whether deviations of real estate prices from their fundamentals were caused by the existence of two...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013093992
This paper examines the dynamics of the residential property market in the United States between 1960 and 2011. Given the cyclicality and apparent overvaluation of the market over this period, we determine whether deviations of real estate prices from their fundamentals were caused by the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013080444
This article applies a three-regime Markov switching model to investigate the impact of the macroeconomy on the dynamics of the residential real estate market in the US. Focusing on the period between 1960 and 2011, the methodology implemented allows for a clearer understanding of the drivers of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013089847
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009345519
This paper examines the cyclical regularities of macroeconomic, financial and property market aggregates in relation to the property stock price cycle in the UK. The Hodrick Prescott filter is employed to fit a long‐term trend to the raw data, and to derive the short‐term cycles of each...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014897983
A key reason for US capital looking for investment opportunities in Europe and European capital in the US is diversification that is exposure to different economic real estate market cycles. Indeed investors seek to exploit diverse economic trends, country characteristics and property market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011168831
Determining the behaviour of yields remains a significant area of research in the real estate field. The last cycle reminded investors of the impact on values from the sudden and largely unpredictable yield changes. Initially, capital values took a major hit from yield rises but subsequently...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010834802
ERES:conference
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010835240