The authors apply a Hidden Markov Model to identify regimes of shifting inflation and then employ an attribution technique based on the Mahalanobis distance to identify the economic variables that determine the trajectory of inflation. Their analysis enables policymakers to focus on the most...

This paper deals with the study of improving the Balance of Payment of the Republic of the Philippines. The researchers hope that this paper will be helpful to the Philippines, as well as government officials and other stakeholders who will be involved in implementing some of the strategies as...

The spread of the virus creates significant implications, sending shocks to the world’s economy. The COVID-19 pandemic outbreak has forced many businesses to close, leading to an unprecedented disruption in most industry sectors. COVID-19 has required many countries across the globe to...

Spanish Abstract: El gobernador interviene en la discusión del Proyecto de Presupuestos Generales del Estado para 2022, que da soporte a las consideraciones de la política fiscal ante la recuperación gradual de la economía española y mundial tras la profunda crisis económica provocada por...

As we projected in the previous strategic analysis paper, the U.S. economy experienced growth rates higher than 4 percent in 2004. The question we want to raise in this new strategic analysis paper is whether these rates will persist or come back down. We believe that several signs point in the...

Today the global economy is facing down the threat of a multifaceted crisis. Sustained by ultra-low interest rates and unprecedented levels of quantitative easing since the last global financial crisis, the global economy is taking a sharp turn toward tighter monetary policy as it experiences...

This paper examines the trends in central finances over a threedecadal period beginning from the 1970s. It is found that there is lack of buoyancy in all the major sources of revenue of the Central Government. This calls for devising new methods of revenue mobilisation. There are political...

This paper analyzes the theoretical and quantitative implications of optimal capital taxation in the neoclassical growth model with aggregate shocks and incomplete markets. The model features a representative-agent economy with proportional taxes on labor and capital. I first consider the case...

Since the end of the 1970s, the United States has seen a dramatic increase in economic inequality. While the United States has long been among the most unequal of the world’s rich economies, the economic and social upheaval that began in the 1970s was a striking departure from the movement...