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The current European fiscal framework is highly complex. The multitude of fiscal rules and the discretion in their enforcement precludes an effective oversight and weakens the effectiveness of fiscal rules substantially. Against this background, we present a proposal for a careful refocusing of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011898769
We analyze whether there are negative (positive) long-term effects of austerity measures (stimulus measures) on … subsequent turn to austerity was badly timed and thus not only deepened the crisis but caused evitable hysteresis effects. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011656960
This paper argues that fiscal convergence in the Euro area has been achieved at the expenses of real divergence in unemployment, investment and at, at least temporarily, growth. Statistical and econometric analysis support the view that the current fiscal framework has addressed debt...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011714062
We simulate the Euro Area's fiscal consolidation between 2011 and 2013 by employing two DSGE models used by the ECB and the European Commission, respectively. The cumulative multiplier amounts to 0.7 and 1.0 in the baseline, but increases to 1.3 with a reasonably calibrated financial accelerator...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012948243
To make the no-bailout clause credible and enhance the effectiveness of crisis assistance, a consistent institutional and legal framework is needed to ensure that private creditors contribute to crisis resolution. Getting activated as part of ESM crisis assistance, we propose a two-stage...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012982263
The Swiss debt brake is a fiscal rule at central government level which aims at stabilizing debt. However, business cycle fluctuations are also accounted for. This paper discusses criticism of the debt brake that it cannot feasibly simultaneously achieve either anti-cyclical or sustainable...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014214811
This paper proposes an alternative stability and growth pact to the one which accompanied the introduction of the euro in January 1999. The latter is part of the third stage of economic and monetary union and, will govern the economic policies of the member countries which have joined the single...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014140127
We assess public finances solvency for Euro Area countries using quarterly data between 1999Q1 and 2020Q4. Through a country-by-country analysis, the answer to the title question is true. For most countries, (i) the primary budget balance reacts positively to the lagged public debt ratio and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013365375
This paper builds a two-country Heterogenous Agents New Keynesian (HANK) model for the Euro Area (EA). The two countries differ in the degree of public indebtedness, i.e., the Periphery has a relatively higher public debt-output ratio vis-à-vis the Core. The model captures some key features of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014255769
. Using a Eurozone case study, the article discusses the nexus between competitiveness and the trade balance. Secondly, the … overthrown, and finally, the article overturns the argument that austerity works. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011118556