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We build a general equilibrium production-based asset pricing model with heterogeneous firms that jointly accounts for firm-level and aggregate facts emphasized by the recent macroeconomic literature, and for important asset pricing moments. Using administrative firm-level data, we establish...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014236531
We develop a pure production-based asset pricing model, in which a representative firm conducts research and development (R&D) investment to try to increase future productivity. The firm has to make a trade-off between gain and loss of R&D investment. With the ability that the firm can transform...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014236612
This paper argues that the capacity of financial markets to aggregate dispersed information about economic conditions is diminished in times of distress, resulting in countercyclical uncertainty. Building on a rational expectations equilibrium dynamic environment, I model informed traders as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013128328
This empirical study analyzes the information and predictive content of the Baltic Dry Index (BDI) with respect to a range of financial assets and the macroeconomy. By using panel methodological approaches and daily data spanning the period 1985–2012, the empirical analysis documents the joint...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010197482
In standard production models wage volatility is far too high and equity volatility is far too low. A simple modification - sticky wages due to infrequent resetting together with a CES production function - leads to both (i) smoother wages and (ii) higher equity volatility. Furthermore, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009625907
We investigate the impact of labor-force heterogeneity on asset prices in a neoclassical model with labor and capital adjustment costs, and with aggregate productivity and adjustment cost shocks. We document that the negative firms' hiring rate-future stock return relation identified in previous...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009697738
I study the cross sectional variation of stock returns and technological progress using a dynamic equilibrium model with production. In the model, technological progress is endogenously driven by Ramp;D investment and is composed of two parts. One part is product innovation devoted to creating...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009697758
We explore the relationship between sticky wages and risk. Like operating leverage, sticky wages are a source of risk for the firm. Firms, industries, regions, or times with especially high or rigid wages are especially risky. If wages are sticky, then wage growth should negatively forecast...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009697776
We study the impact of labor market frictions on asset prices. In the cross section of U.S. firms, a 10 percentage points increase in the firm's hiring rate is associated with a 1.5 percentage points decrease in the firm's annual risk premium. We propose an investment-based model with stochastic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009697801
A popular interpretation of the Rational Expectations/Efficient Markets hypothesis states that, if the hypothesis holds, then market valuations must follow a random walk. This postulate has frequently been criticized on the basis of empirical evidence. Yet the assertion itself incurs what we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009547387