Showing 11 - 20 of 238
The measurement and recording of the height and spatial extent reached by coastal storm surges is fundamental to scientific progress in understanding these phenomena. Such information is required for better prediction and for risk assessment. Model-based evaluation of increasing delta...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010758724
Societies dependent on rain-fed agriculture are highly vulnerable to weather extremes; thus, linkages between rainfall variability and economic well-being merit close attention. The hypothesis of this paper is that rainfall patterns impact changes in income within our study region of central and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010758756
storm size, intensity, and track. It will be shown that these scaling laws successfully estimate the surge response at any … arbitrary location for any arbitrary storm track within the study region. Such a prediction methodology has the potential to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010758779
This paper introduces a new metric for tropical cyclone track shape within the tropical South Pacific (TSP) basin …, based on measurements of track sinuosity. A sinuosity index (SI) is developed by applying a simple cube-root transformation … to original track sinuosity values. Based on the resulting near-normal SI distribution, an ordinal four …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010758811
In this paper, we seek to resolve the conflicting findings in literature about the effect of past hazard experience on response to warning. We find that different definitions of past experience in different studies are at the root of these conflicting findings. We disaggregate past experience...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010758902
This paper is a partial discussion of a four-year study that investigated the vulnerability of the people living in the Cairns region to the tropical cyclone hazard. The longitudinal case study, focussing on the Cairns Northern Beaches area, was unique in that it included a social and societal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010758980
the tropical cyclones of Bangladesh. The Global Tropical Cyclone Climatic Atlas (GTCCA) lists historical storm track …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010759027
One of the important recent advances in the field of hurricane/storm modelling has been the development of high-fidelity numerical simulation models for reliable and accurate prediction of wave and surge responses. The computational cost associated with these models has simultaneously created an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010759087
. The points of cyclone genesis are modelled as a spatial Poisson point process, the intensity of which is estimated using a …, thereby generating a first 6-h segment of a track. The subsequent segments are then generated by drawing changes in theses … the track is determined after each segment as a function of wind speed and location. In the present paper, the model is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010759563
explicit cloud microphysics parameterization schemes on intensity and track forecast of super cyclone Gonu (2007) using the … parameterization schemes on the storm’s track and intensity forecast. Convective parameterization schemes (CPS) include Grell (Gr … three nested domains (90-, 30- and 10-km grid resolution). It is found that the forecast track and intensity of the cyclone …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010846243