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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005603394
In this paper a mixed-frequency VAR à la Mariano & Murasawa (2004) with Markov regime switching in the parameters is estimated by Bayesian inference. Unlike earlier studies, that used the pseuo-EM algorithm of Dempster, Laird & Rubin (1977) to estimate the model, this paper describes how to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010287258
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010413712
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012228144
The shape of the likelihood of several recently developed econometric models is often non-elliptical. Learning this shape using Gibbs sampling is discussed in this paper. A systematic analysis using graphical and computational methods is presented. Examples of the models considered in this paper...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005345329
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005166786
In this paper a mixed-frequency VAR à la Mariano & Murasawa (2004) with Markov regime switching in the parameters is estimated by Bayesian inference. Unlike earlier studies, that used the pseuo-EM algorithm of Dempster, Laird & Rubin (1977) to estimate the model, this paper describes how to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009371746
The Reversible Jump Markov Chain Monte Carlo (RJMCMC) method can enhance Bayesian DSGE estimation by sampling from a posterior distribution spanning potentially nonnested models with parameter spaces of different dimensionality. We use the method to jointly sample from an ARMA process of unknown...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011335461
This study investigates the dynamics of quarterly real GDP per capita growth rates across four countries, the US, UK, Canada and France. I obtain estimates for ARIMA(p,q) processes for first differences of log quarterly real GDP per capita using Reversible Jump Markov Chain Monte Carlo, allowing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011380697
We relax the standard assumption in the dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) literature that exogenous processes are governed by AR(1) processes and estimate ARMA (p,q) orders and parameters of exogenous processes. Methodologically, we contribute to the Bayesian DSGE literature by using...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011902326