Asset price indices are widely used in financial economics to measure portfolio performance and analyze asset class attributes such as risk and returns. This paper uses statistical models and numerical examples to illustrate that these two research needs are different and thus demand different...

This paper documents the potential bias induced in an index of asset prices when sellers use reservation rules that may include some component of private value. We develop a model in which the seller's asking price is determined by private valuation while the buyer's bid price is determined by...

In various fields of applications such as capital allocation, sensitivity analysis and systemic risk evaluation, one often needs to compute or estimate the expectation of a random variable given that another random variable is equal to its quantile at some pre-specified probability level. A...

We re-examine the methods used in estimating comovements among U.S. regional home prices and find that there are insufficient moments to ensure a normal limit necessary for employing the quasi-maximum likelihood estimator. Hence, we propose applying the self- weighted quasi-maximum exponential...

Previous research finds that the cap rate, that is, the income-price ratio of commercial real estate, predicts future investment returns. This finding's implication on the efficiency of the real estate market crucially depends on whether the cap rate also predicts future risk. Using accurately...

This paper analyzes the implications of cross-sectional heteroskedasticity in repeat sales regression (RSR). RSR estimators are essentially geometric averages of individual asset returns because of the logarithmic transformation of price relatives. We show that the cross sectional variance of...

How different is real estate from stocks and bonds? This paper sheds light on this question with new data and new methods. Analyzing 10,848 commercial properties from 1977 to 2017, we find that properties' risk premiums contain systematic components that are orthogonal to a comprehensive list of...

In studies of time series momentum (TSM), the Newey-West t-test has size distortion for linear predictive regression with excess returns because of non-stationarity, endogeneity due to correlated errors, and a lack of finite moments due to heavy tails. To solve these problems, we propose a new...

Housing is the largest component of most American households' wealth. Divergence of house prices directly affects wealth inequality. Using 5.9 million repeat sales of single-family houses, we find strong evidence that pricier houses had higher price appreciation rates from 2000 to 2015. Across...

Interest rates in the U.S. have been at historical lows since the financial crisis in 2007 for almost a decade, which are partly meant to stimulate investments. However, a theory by Chetty (2007) suggests that, at low rates, decreasing the interest rate has little effect on investments due to...