This study models retail rents in the UK using a vector autoregressive and time series models. Two retail rent series are used, compiled by LaSalle Investment Management and CB Hillier Parker, and the emphasis is on forecasting. The results suggest that the use of the vector autoregression and...

This paper examines the predictability of real estate asset returns using a number of time series techniques. A vector autoregressive model, which incorporates financial spreads, is able to improve upon the out of sample forecasting performance of univariate time series models at a short...

This paper investigates whether the prices of UK equity-traded property stocks over the past fifteen years contain evidence of a speculative bubble. Speculative bubbles are generated when investors include the expectation of the future price in their information set. In the presence of...

This paper examines the performance of various statistical models and commonly used financial indicators for forecasting securitised real estate returns for five European countries: the UK, Belgium, the Netherlands, France and Italy. Within a VAR framework, it is demonstrated that the...

This study estimates models of industrial rents at the national level in Great Britain. James Lan Wooten and CB Hillier Parker rent indices are used to model changes in real rents. These changes are positively related to changes in real GDP and inversely affected by absorption, as measured by...

"This book presents an easy-to-read guide to applying quantitative analysis in real estate aimed at non-cognate undergraduate and Masters students, as well as meeting the requirements of modern professional practice."

This paper provides a study of new retail development, proxied by the volume of new orders for retail building works, at the aggregate level in Great Britain. A regression model and a VAR system are estimated based on a theoretical framework that relates the level of new orders to changes both...